On top of all that — they’re almost broke. Democratic campaign committees are being outpaced in fundraising while simultaneously being forced to defend seats in districts that shouldn’t require defending, because their own candidates keep blowing up in their faces. The Platner catastrophe in Maine consumed weeks of national attention and millions in redirected resources. The DSA primary wins in New York and Colorado are forcing the party to spend on candidates it doesn’t want and can’t fully support without alienating the moderate voters it desperately needs.

The North Carolina numbers deserve special attention. Roy Cooper — once one of the most popular Democratic governors in America, a man who survived multiple wave elections and was openly discussed as presidential material — is leading Republican Michael Whatley by only four points in a poll conducted by a Democratic firm, Public Policy Polling. The firm that is paid to find good news for Democrats couldn’t manufacture more than a four-point lead for their best available candidate against a Republican who is still building name recognition.

If Whatley wins North Carolina, Democratic Senate hopes are essentially finished. The map simply doesn’t work without it.

None of this is a guarantee. Plenty can happen between now and November. Gas prices matter. Iran matters. The economy matters. And Republicans have a well-documented talent for snatching defeat from the jaws of victory.

But the trend line is moving in the right direction. Six weeks. Three points. Soft Republicans coming home.

Keep it up. Don’t stop now.