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President Arévalo came to office with genuine reform ambitions and has faced persistent institutional resistance to most of his significant policy initiatives. The events of this weekend, and his response to them, represent a critical test of whether his administration can translate its stated commitments into durable change in how the Guatemalan state functions and how seriously it is willing to confront the criminal interests that have benefited from its previous failures to do so.
Whether this government, in this political environment, has the capacity to deliver that remains one of the most consequential open questions in Guatemalan public life.
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